National Weather Service sez

Jan. 21st, 2026 01:31 pm
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[personal profile] elisem
 ...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THURSDAY TO 11 AM CST
FRIDAY...
...EXTREME COLD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Extreme Cold Warning, dangerously cold wind chills
  of 35 to 45 below expected. For the Extreme Cold Watch, dangerously
  cold wind chills as low as 35 below possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central,
  southeast, southwest, and west central Minnesota and northwest and
  west central Wisconsin.

* WHEN...For the Extreme Cold Warning, from 9 PM Thursday to 11 AM
  CST Friday. For the Extreme Cold Watch, from Friday morning through
  Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 45 below zero
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

And where is this for?

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1202 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

MNZ051>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-220615-
/O.NEW.KMPX.EC.W.0001.260123T0300Z-260123T1700Z/
/O.EXT.KMPX.EC.A.0001.260123T1700Z-260124T1800Z/
Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-
Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-Yellow Medicine-
Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-
Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-Waseca-Steele-Martin-
Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-
Chippewa-Eau Claire-
Including the cities of Chippewa Falls, St Peter, Mankato,
Stillwater, Victoria, Hudson, Fairmont, Blue Earth, Hutchinson,
Olivia, Faribault, Gaylord, Waseca, Owatonna, Benson, Madison, Elk
River, Redwood Falls, New Ulm, Cambridge, River Falls, St Paul,
Minneapolis, Menomonie, Shakopee, Red Wing, Durand, Blaine,
Chanhassen, St James, Center City, Litchfield, Monticello, Osceola,
Montevideo, Granite Falls, Albert Lea, Willmar, Hastings, Rice Lake,
Eau Claire, Ladysmith, Le Sueur, and Chaska

And what do we do?

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go
outside.

Keep pets indoors as much as possible.

Which mostly means "Keep yer ass indoors! You, and your little dog too!"
And also means "Look after each other. We keep us safe."  OK? OK then.
Now if you'll excuse me, I need to finish the bag for the supply depot and start on one for Pow Wow Grounds.

 What's the weather going to be doing where you are? And how are the people in your neighborhood?
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[personal profile] silveradept
[community profile] snowflake_challenge dropped their eleventh challenge, and it's a call-back.

Challenge #11

Grant someone's wish from Challenge #5.


Merrily a wassailing... )
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Nanao must chose between staying with her abusive family or accepting the offer of marriage from handsome, wealthy, sincerely considerate Yako. A dilemma for the ages!

The Ayakashi Hunter’s Tainted Bride, volume 1 by Midori Yuma & Mamenosuke Fujimaru
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[personal profile] siderea
Hey, Americans! Do you live around or south of the Mason-Dixon line? If so, your weather report for later this week is shaping up to be a bit exciting. Looks like Actual Winter will be visiting places that historically have been poorly prepared for this sort of thing, i.e. TX, the South, and the mid-Atlantic.

(Also eventually the NE, but a forecast of a few feet of snow is threatening us with a good time.)

H/t to the RyanHallYall YT channel. He's a well-reputed amateur, but his report is congruent with what I'm seeing in conventional weather reports:


https://youtube.com/shorts/nh4JEVGWfFU

Good luck and remember running a charcoal grill in your living room is a dumb way to die.
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[personal profile] siderea
I found this intriguing. YouTuber KnittingCultLady, who is an Air Force veteran and author about two books on military culture from the standpoint of cults(!), put out this rather frustrated video clarifying how members of the military respond to illegal orders. The tl;dr is they will follow orders of ambiguous legality, and refuse to follow orders of obvious illegality, and what is obviously illegal may not be what civilians think.

2026 Jan 18: KnittingCultLady on YT: Some Examples of Recent Malicious Compliance from the Military, ALSO Listen Carefully To My Words:


She doesn't put it this way, but it sounds from what she says that what makes something obviously illegal is that it resulted in a courtmartial or other nigh-universal condemnation when tried previously. Orders that are for doing things that are war crimes by the letter of the law but which did not result in prosecution or other negative consequences for the perpetrators when done in the past do not trigger the sense that they are illegal, e.g. if it was okay for Bush to seize Noriega, then clearly it must be legal for Trump to seize Maduro.

Mistakes were made

Jan. 20th, 2026 09:02 am
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[personal profile] james_davis_nicoll
One of Canada's great missteps was not mining the border. The other was not building intermediate range nuclear-armed missiles.


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November 25, 2026 would have been Poul Anderson’s 100th birthday. As there is no guarantee any of us will see November 25, 2026, I’ll borrow an idea from Tom Lehrer’s That Was the Year That Was and start writing something appropriately celebratory now.

Homeward By Starlight



Improve your sword and sorcery through inspirational verisimilitude!


On Thud and Blunder by Poul Anderson
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[personal profile] silveradept
The [community profile] snowflake_challenge has put out challenge number 10, and it works in media that I generally do not think in nor work in.

Challenge #10: Big Mood (Board)

CHOOSE SOMETHING YOU LOVE AND CREATE A MINI MOOD COLLECTION OF THREE (or more) ITEMS THAT EVOKE YOUR FEELINGS ABOUT IT. You don’t have to limit yourself to visual media, or collect the items into a special format like a square (though you can if you’d like).


I suppose I can make a fanmix for El Higgins? )

Bundle of Holding: Sleepy Hollow

Jan. 19th, 2026 02:08 pm
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The tabletop fantasy roleplaying game of early 19th-Century folk horror.

Bundle of Holding: Sleepy Hollow
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[personal profile] flareonfury posting in [site community profile] dw_community_promo


[community profile] svpromptstables is an Arrowverse (*coughs* check out it's multiverse *winks*) & Smallville Prompt table challenge, with prompt tables options ranging from 7-100 prompts. Low stakes, no limit on how much you can "claim" (and anyone can "claim" the same things), only a minimum of 100 words and no deadlines.

Tables | FAQ | Claim & Claim List
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A deranged President sets his eyes on Canada and Scandinavia, forcing one senator to consider the prospect of contemplating the preliminaries to action.

Night of Camp David by Fletcher Knebel

Amusing Encounter

Jan. 17th, 2026 08:21 pm
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[personal profile] hrj
So today's adventure was going uptown to meet friends at the Cloisters and see the special exhibit (on sexuality in the Middle Ages) with them. I took the subway up then walked the last bit through the park with snow softly falling. As I'm walking along the path, a couple coming the other way stop to compliment my coat. (This is the long green redingote with the shoulder capes.) I thanked them and told them about how I loved to make historically-inspired clothing and we chatted briefly then went on our way.

So I saw the exhibit and the rest of the museum. Went to an early dinner with my friends. Then caught the subway back toward downtown, but because it's a weekend I had to overshoot my destination and double back from Columbus Circle. So I'm standing on the platform at Columbus and I hear this voice, "I'd recognize that coat anywhere!" It's the same couple (at the opposite end of town). We chatted some more while waiting for our trains and it turns out they both went to Berkeley for college. What a small world.
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[personal profile] siderea
(h/t [personal profile] hudebnik)

Two things: this is a thing that has happened, I have a read on what it is that nobody else seems to have come up with.

1) The thing that happened:

2026 Jan 16: NYTimes: "Thousands of Chinese Fishing Boats Quietly Form Vast Sea Barriers" by Chris Buckley, Agnes Chang and Amy Chang Chien

The most interesting thing here is the visualization animations, so if that link doesn't work for you:

2026 Jan 17: TaiwanPlus News [TaiwanPlusNews on YT]: "NYT: China Tests Civilian Fishing Boats in Maritime Military Operations"


2) Take:

“The sight of that many vessels operating in concert is staggering,” said Mark Douglas, an analyst at Starboard, a company with offices in New Zealand and the United States. Mr. Douglas said that he and his colleagues had “never seen a formation of this size and discipline before.”

“The level of coordination to get that many vessels into a formation like this is significant,” he said.
Yeah, so, about that:



It turns out that the world leader in developing systems for coordinating large numbers of semi-autonomous vehicles is China.

The way a drone show works is that the design of the show and the intended positions and trajectories of all the individual drones is calculated and stored on the coordinating computer, from which they are transmitted to the drones during the show. However, drones in the air can be knocked off course by turbulence, so they also have onboard collision avoidance and position resumption algorithms.

The drone show company in question, Shenzhen DAMODA Intelligent Control Technology Co., Ltd. brags they can control 10,000 drones from a single laptop.

There were only 2,000 ships. Well within what their system could handle.

So what this could be is a test of such a coordination technology deployed to civilian boats.

Perhaps on each of those ships was either a sail-by-wire system that puts them under remote/autonomous control, or a receiver/interface that relayed instructions to the human pilots from a drone-controller that both received orders from command-and-control and managed the specifics of positioning through the same sort of collision-avoidance and repositioning algorithm as light-show drones.

Also, I suspect the way DAMODA manages to control so many devices from a single laptop – I was not able to quickly get a bead on this, and it would be unsurprising if they were less than forthcoming about their secret sauce – is that they have been figuring out ways to offload more and more of the steering logic onto the drones themselves. There comes a point, I suppose, where the logic for collision avoidance and repositioning crosses over into what used to be called (back in the 1980s and 1990s) flocking algorithms. Perhaps this was a test of a flocking algorithm based system for boats.

In any event, this might not be an example of a lot of people doing a thing. This might be an example of a thing being done to a lot of people. I mean, it almost certainly is the latter in that the government of China's modus operandi is to "voluntell" its citizens, and one of the concerning things here is the apparent use of civilians for military maneuvers. I'm saying this might be a test of a system that doesn't rely on acquiescence to government authority.

Other reading in Week 3

Jan. 18th, 2026 08:45 am
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[personal profile] pedanther
January: Title containing "Before" or "After"

I have a couple of options on hold at the library, but they're still a few weeks away from coming in. If necessary, I can opt for Heaven and Hell: A History of the Afterlife, but apart from the question of whether subtitles count I'm not sure it's a topic I'm in the mood for at the moment.


StoryGraph Onboarding Challenge: A book one of your friends gave 4 stars out of 5

I'm about halfway through The Amateur Cracksman by E.W. Hornung, the first in a series of books detailing the exploits of the sporting gentleman A.J. Raffles, an excellent amateur cricketer and equally excellent amateur burglar and jewel thief. Read more... )


Miscellaneous

Han Solo at Stars' End by Brian Daley.

One of the very earliest Star Wars tie-in novels, written back when "Star Wars" was just one movie, and well before the formation of the set of shared assumptions that informed the tie-ins from 1987 on. Read more... )


Water Weed by Ben Aaronovitch, Andrew Cartmel, et al. A collected story arc from the comic book spun off from Aaronovitch's Rivers of London novels. Read more... )

Book Chain 2026: Week 3

Jan. 18th, 2026 08:32 am
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[personal profile] pedanther
#4: A book published at least five years before the previous book

Attempt 1: Twenty-Two Goblins by Arthur W. Ryder, a translation/retelling of "Vetala Panchavimshati", a Sanskrit cycle of folk tales.

In the frame story, a king encounters a goblin (properly a vetāla) who tells him a series of stories involving magic and supernatural creatures. Read more... )

Attempt 2: Daddy-Long-Legs by Jean Webster.

I decided that what I needed was a book in which nobody was getting horribly murdered. Read more... )


#5: A book with the same spine colour as the previous book

Here's a conundrum: What colour is the spine of an ebook?

Well, in this case there's an answer: PG's edition-with-images of Daddy-Long-Legs includes not only the internal illustrations and a picture of the front cover but also a picture of the spine, which has a nice floral decorative element on it. The spine is green.

The Project Gutenberg edition-with-images of the sequel only has the front cover and not the spine (insufficiently decorative, one presumes), but if the spine is the same colour as the front cover then it is also green. Therefore:

Dear Enemy by Jean Webster.

A young woman is charged with running an orphanage in need of reform, with the assistance of, among others, a taciturn doctor with whom she immediately fails to get on (and we all know what that means). Read more... )

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